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Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites at +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing 2018 loop information and historic benefits, we handicap the race and provide a championship pick.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to battle for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),” Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one championship in their professions, while Logano is trying to secure his first.

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It’s not surprise to see Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this season. Logano scored two wins himselfbut awakened 25 finishes to earn his shot at Homestead.

Using historic loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to determine the best bet to acquire the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a few additional MENCS monitors at 1.5 miles in length, there really aren’t any other people on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers banking, which enables lines to conduct , together with the lane the quickest.

The track surface is also very abrasive, which makes new rubberized a huge benefit and wears out tires.

With tire wear creating cars challenging to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to choose unique lines, passing is easier here than most other 1.5-mile paths that are overly reliant upon aero for speed and therefore create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to examine the previous four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races may seem a little arbitrary, but I picked on that number . First, 2014 was the year that NASCAR went into the current playoff format in which drivers progress through the playoff of the sport until four remain to race to the title at Homestead.

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